arXiv:2606.12691v1 · OpenReview bMSnvqVWaB
| Claim | Verdict | Headline |
|---|---|---|
| 1 hidden repr = Kalman state up to S | reproduced | R² 0.9999 (H=5); shuffle control −0.25 |
| 2 Theorem 4 recovery bound | reproduced | slope −0.919 vs −1; h=2 control 91× worse |
| 3 Theorem 2 in-sample O(H/T) | reproduced | slopes −0.919 / −0.962 |
| 4 Theorem 3 parameter error | reproduced | slope −1.031; excitation control → 0 |
| 5 Proposition 1 truncation in L | reproduced | identity exact to 2.9e−13; base = ρ(Ā) |
| 6 grid search picks h=4 | falsified | nested ranks ⇒ argmin h=10 in 10/10 |